![](/static/253f0d9b/assets/icons/icon-96x96.png)
![](https://beehaw.org/pictrs/image/cd7879c3-cd1c-4108-806e-f9ca45e9b22a.png)
Nate Silver is a prime example of this thing that happens a lot with technical people. They get good at describing what is and then they start to think they understand “why”. Sometimes a good understanding can lead you to the why of a situation, but often you need actual experts to analyze the data you’ve collected.
The whole thing about the way his methods work is based on not actually understanding the interactions of the inputs he’s selected.
His book was interesting, but I wouldn’t trust his analysis too much.
I’ve still got my old Anova, Bluetooth one. I don’t even use the app ever, I can set it up with the wheel and buttons. Still works great after like 5+ years. That said, I won’t be recommending them to anyone going forward.