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Cake day: June 9th, 2023

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  • I worry that a lot of the left is going to be hesitant to turn out to vote for a tough on crime cop so soon after we had nationwide protests against people like her and at a time when the stop cop city protests continue to get national coverage.

    Meanwhile, I bet Fox is already talking about the DEI hire who never would have been hired to be anything more than a waitress if not for reverse racism.

    And we haven’t even gotten to the chance that she isn’t even allowed to show up on the ballot in some Republican ran states because the deadline for submitting candidates already passed or whatever.



  • Surrender of or the replacement of the government on that land or resources through military might either directly or indirectly is however the way control over those resources is achieved, and no, I am not just taking about total war, as one of my examples there was the Falkland’s war, which was not even close to a total war for either side.

    Moreover your definition would seem not to apply to the current Iran- Israel conflict, as it is being discussed and decided on a case by case basis for both sides instead of an open and declared conflict.


  • All of the above are cases of one nations government killing a handful of another’s people for minor political posturing, and are all far more similar in scale to each other than say the US-Vietnam, Ukrainian, or even the undeclared Falklands war.

    If the ultimate goal of a war is to force one nation
    or group to surrender to another through military might, then I don’t think anyone in Israel expected Iran to surrender to them after they ‘accidentally’ blew up an embassy, nor do I expect anyone in Iran to have expected Israel to send an offer of surrender after they launched a single wave of largely outdated missiles against a handful of airfields.

    In practice there are of course secondary effects, but the primary political motivation is internal, not external. Iran doesn’t expect Israel to surrender, but primarily wishes to reassure its public and keys to power that it can respond to military aggression. Israel does not wish Iran to surrender and end the ‘war’, it wishes to commit the US to giving it more resources while finding a situation in which it can play the victim.

    So yes, I would say it is far more similar in scale, scope, and goal to assassinating a foreign citizen or sending a bunch of soldiers to beat another off ‘your’ land with nail studded sticks than it is sending tens of thousands of soldiers to occupy territory and replace the local government with your own.


  • Yes, but a handful of conventional missiles going back and forth against symbolic targets is not a very useful definition of a war, much less a world war, if for no other reason than it is to broad to be useful. The on again/off again three way between India/China/Pakistan comes to mind, as might India and Canada if the definition goes much beyond that. The word war tends to imply that nations don’t have active trade between them for instance, and generally implies that at least one side is attempting to achieve some sort of military victory.



  • We’ve seen the largest real wage growth among the lowest income workers since the 60s. Up until recently the real wage gain was actually entirely seen in essential, unionized, and low income workers, with the rich actually seeing real wage decreases in that time. Higher inflation is obviously going to be a lot bigger problem for owners than workers. It’s just the trend has a really long way to go to make for half a century of falling.





  • It’s funny you didn’t respond to the comment about using weapons that can hit the specific building they were aimed at.

    Yes, fighting the people that can actually shoot back is hard, that’s why the military constantly practices and drills doing it. It is however impossible that avoiding the Hamas and only killing random innocent people will ever have an impact on stoping the Hamas from attacking Israel. That is why it was so easy to outlaw collective punishment as a war crime under common article 33 of the Fourth Geneva Convention, because it does not and has never worked to do anything but breed resentment and prolong a conflict.

    You know tunnels of any significant length take months to years to construct, right? They also lead back to the places you want to target if you want to actually achieve anything. It also seems to work ok on along the rest of Gaza’s borders, as for some strange reason none of these magically infinite tunnels had crossed that border, or we would have seen them on Oct 7th.

    But please, explain how Isreal’s current tactics of avoiding using weapons that can hit Hamas and never engaging any stronghold or trying to capture any Hamas leader without explicitly warning Hamas they are coming hours in advance is magically going to end this war.

    Why, it’s almost like the government party that publicly funded the most extreme members of Hamas until 2019 to explicitly foster increased hostility and prevent a two state solution from ending hostilities might just not actually be trying to do what they were forced to say was their goal after October seventh.


  • I don’t know, maybe use bombs and missiles that have a CAP small enough that there is even a 50% in perfect conditions that they land on the building they were targeted at. You know, the missiles the US has been using since the eighties and which make up a significant portion of the Israeli stockpile, but which arn’t getting used. That way, there would even be a possibility that such rounds migh kill a Hamas soldier and not the family half a block over.

    Maybe Israel could prioritize useing snipers to counter fire at the Hamas soldier who just launched a shoulder fired rocket off the roof of an apartment building and ran, instead of blowing up the whole building fifteen minutes after they got into their truck drove off, this might also actually kill some Hamas too.

    Maybe Israel could send some of its own ground forces into the hospital or church they are so sure had a tunnel entrance underneath instead of giving everyone an hours warning to flee and then bombing it. You could then even send some of these soldiers into the network to slowly clear if of Hamas, instead of them only needing a half hour to clear the rouble out of the tunnel entrance and continue on completely the same. Yes, I know bunker clearing sucks, but if you want to destroy Hamas, congratulations, this is how you find Hamas. If you don’t go in to their bunkers, there is not even the theoretical possibility that you actually eliminate the Hamas.

    Maybe, you could use this little thing called ground penetrating radar to look for tunnels under the border and follow them. Tunnels arn’t exactly able to doge out of the way of a border patrol after all, and militaries are trained on bunker mapping and clearing. This might actually cut them off from resuply, and is a necessary prerequisite for an blockade to actually do anything at all. Again, as might be a theme here, doing so would not only comply with the Geneva convention, but actually have the possibility of killing a Hamas soldier by more than just random chance.


  • Except Isreal’s actions in Gaza aren’t defending themselves against Hamas, are they? If they were targeting Hamas, half the Israeli munitions would not have been dumb bombs that are not physically accurate enough to target a spasific building. They would not be using their smart weapons to kill over two and a half times as many journalists as have died in Ukraine since that war started in 2014. They would condem the Israeli politicians who call for the elimination of every last Palestinian in Gaza.

    The same party that currently holds office in Israel proudly and publicly funded the Hamas until 2019. They knew what the Hamas had planned for over a year, and did nothing, because an attack would be good for the prime minister’s numbers.

    If Israel was focused on mearly defending itself, they would not be in front of a UN war crimes tribunal. If Israel was mearly defending itself, it would not be burning though its goodwill with the west. Instead its leaders have chosen to escalate and kill innocent people who have no connection to Hamas, and that has consequences on how much other nations donate to support it.



  • I mean, pedofiles are trying to scale up sex abuse though the education system, at least here in the US. Abstance only sex “education’s” primary effect beyond increasing teen pregnancy is to make it harder for children to recognize and report sexual assault.

    I wonder why a party who’s membership is commonly convicted of having sex with minors and in which one of the most influential alt-right leaders is a convicted rapist (Trump), might heavily support expanding it while labeling anything else as “grooming” children.