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He / They
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Polling is incredibly unreliable. That is people that pick up the phone and talk to pollsters. Do you know anyone under 60 who does that? Additionally, a lot of those calls are on landlines. How many people do you know who have landlines? How many of those are under 60? The polls are heavily skewed towards boomers.
All these incorrect assumptions of yours could have been answered simply by actually reading the poll report before making claims about it:
On June 28, 2024, Data for Progress conducted a survey of 1,011 U.S. likely voters nationally using web panel respondents.
https://www.filesforprogress.org/datasets/2024/6/dfp_post_first_presidential_debate.pdf
Literally entirely online.
Polling has long since shifted away from relying on landline cold-calls. And I agree that now is certainly sub-optimal for a change; that should have happened during the Primary (you know, where candidates present themselves to voters to find out who voters want), rather than the DNC pressuring other democrats out of running. But better late than never.
In the end, you and I are probably never going to see eye-to-eye, because of one fundamental difference of beliefs; you believe Biden might win. I don’t.
Since it seems clear that Biden isn’t going to step aside, I really hope you’re right and I’m wrong, but I’m not banking on it.
Polling - released by Biden’s campaign to try to prove his electability - shows other Democratic candidates right now performing just as well or slightly better than Biden with voters, and none of them have been running a campaign for the last year. In other words, without even trying and without the same level of name recognition, they are on par with Biden, and none of them have the baggage he does.
I don’t want Trump to be replaced with a “better” Republican candidate that is more likely to win, because I don’t want Republicans to win.
I want Biden to be replaced with a better Democrat candidate that is more likely to win, because I want Democrats to win.
There is also no world in which actual Republicans will demand Trump exit the race, so it’s silly to think Democrats demanding that would mean anything.
Clearly his email ghostwriter should be running instead.
Everyone has the ability to exercise force.
Here we’ve been being lectured that we don’t understand the stakes if we don’t all line up behind Biden, rather than insisting we need someone else.
Turns out, we were right all along, and Biden doesn’t understand the stakes, and is totally fine losing so long as he ‘gives it his all’.
He won’t pack the court. He won’t do anything to forestall Project 2025. He’ll just pat himself on the back behind his lifelong Secret Service protection and tell himself there was nothing he could do but hand the country over to a dictator.
Edit: Polling - released by Biden’s campaign to try to prove his electability - shows other Democratic candidates right now performing just as well or slightly better than Biden with voters, and none of them have been running a campaign for the last year. In other words, without even trying, they are on par with Biden, and none of them have the baggage he does.
Because thanks to decades of anti-firearm legislation and rhetoric from the Democrats, and the very real social taboo around them in (neo)liberal spaces as a consequence, the Right knows that most gun owners are Right-wingers. They don’t want to disarm everyone, just non-white people and non-conservatives.
It being legal for minorities to carry guns won’t stop cops from shooting them (if anything, it just gives police another “excuse” to shoot them), so really the “constitutional carry” laws in Red states only apply to white people.
Sadly, the Center-Right party that we’re all told will save us from fascism actively campaigns against the 2nd Amendment being at all relevant anymore. I am definitely worried that too many the vast majority of Democrats are going to roll over when fascists take power, instead of actually fighting them.
Dems are not the Left, and if you are planning to rely on them use force to oppose anything other than loss of campaign funding, you’re gonna be in a bad place.
Hell yeah! Cop training is a non-stop indoctrination of fearing death around every corner, and preempting that presumed danger with deadly force, when 99% of the time there is no danger.
This has had the side effect of making cops almost completely unwilling to actually engage larger groups of armed individuals, which groups like Elm Fork John Brown Gun Club (and other JBGCs) and Don’t Comply use to their advantage.
works fine for me, on Firefox
If they mean, “it will be bloodless if people just let us make America a Christo-fascist white ethnostate”, then I pray the Left doesn’t “allow it to be”.
I’m fine with her choosing whatever she wants to do (or not do), because she’s already been given an incredibly difficult time just being a House Rep. But if she ran for President, I’d campaign for her non-stop from announcement to election day.
This defeatist, placatory attitude will ensure that we never make any progress.
No one has ever been VP for FOUR TERMS, but that’s the hypothetical bar you set for her, because you assume that’s what it would take? Leaving aside that it’s an impossible ask anyways, being VP for 4 terms isn’t going to satisfy the “old fat white guys” anyways.
Are misogynists gonna demand more of her? Yeah, of course. But don’t go setting the bar higher on their behalf, before they even say anything!
the Earth
FTFY
As a huge Sanders fan, he’s too old as well now. AOC for sure, but sadly in this shithole country that’s a pipe dream.
we have determined that the string itself is not a machinegun, whether or not there are loops tied on the ends. However, when the string is added to a semiautomatic firearm as you proposed in order to increase the cycling rate of that rifle, the result is a firearm that fires automatically and consequently would be classified as a machinegun.
So no, gun owners with shoes are not felons, unless they combine those 2 things to make a machinegun. Obviously.
They didn’t make owning shoes a felony. Rich of you too accuse ME of arguing in bad faith in the same breath you say that.
If you use a string to make a reciprocating charging handle pull the trigger as it returns to battery after firing, why is that less “legitimate” in converting the gun into automatic firing than using an auto-sear? In both cases, the gun fires multiple times with a single pull of the trigger by a person.
Based on recent polling, potentially most of them could surpass him with even a little bit of national exposure. No clue if it’s too late, or not, but better to try than just concede the election to Trump.
The DNC was pressuring other potential Democrat candidates not to run during the Primary (including the most prominent names now like Newsom, Whitmer, and Buttigieg) from the get-go, so I guarantee they’re not about to do a 180. The DNC would rather lose to Trump than run a candidate they did not ordain. Remember in 2008 when they did literally everything they could to stop Obama winning against Clinton until they had no other choice? Or 2016, which was a whole mess of undemocratic bullshit (that article is wild, and it was written by Donna Brazile, the Chairperson of the DNC during the 2016 election).
No one is talking about voting for Trump, what we’re saying is that we don’t think Biden is going to win against Trump. That’s the reason this is worth spending so much time belaboring; to me, Biden is delivering us into Trump’s hands.
If you believe Biden might win, then it’s ‘Chance of Winning with Biden’ versus ‘Chance of Winning with [Replacement]’, and who really knows what their chances might be?
If you don’t believe Biden might win, it’s ‘Assured Loss with Biden’ versus ‘Chance of Winning with [Replacement]’, so obviously that would be the route to go.